Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.18
Over 2.5
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 55%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
0.94/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.83
-26% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Walter Ferretti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
08.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
04.02.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
08.10.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
06.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
12.02.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa ran out comfortable winners over Walter Ferretti 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walter Ferretti led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jalapa and 1.67 for Walter Ferretti.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Jalapa 3-0 Walter Ferretti in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Walter Ferretti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 26%, draw 25%, Walter Ferretti 49%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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