Real Esteli 2-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.66/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.15
-20% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
28.10.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
18.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
15.03.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.11.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.09.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli edged past Matagalpa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Esteli and 1.17 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Matagalpa?

Real Esteli 2-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 64%, draw 24%, Matagalpa 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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