Real Esteli 2-0 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

Real Esteli
2-0 HT 2-0
Matagalpa
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2024/2025

Real Esteli vs Matagalpa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.4pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Esteli v Matagalpa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.34/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.20
-1% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
483 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Real Esteli vs Matagalpa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
18.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
15.03.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
25.11.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
19.09.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
24.04.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli saw off Matagalpa 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Esteli and 1.17 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Matagalpa?

Real Esteli 2-0 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 62%, draw 19%, Matagalpa 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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