Diriangen 0-3 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
77%
-11.0pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.3pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 11%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / -2%
2.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.16
+7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
32 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 1-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
26.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
10.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.12.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 1-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
0-3
AWAY Export Sebaco
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco swept aside Diriangen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Diriangen at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Diriangen had 56% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 44%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Diriangen and 0.50 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Diriangen 0-3 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 66%, draw 19%, Export Sebaco 15%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Diriangen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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