Diriangen 3-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-13.4pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +22%
2.54/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.52
+6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
529 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
26.02.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
10.12.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 3-0 HT 2-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
04.12.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
06.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 1-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
31.08.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 1-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
3-0
AWAY Export Sebaco
68% Ball Possession 32%
41 Total Shots 13
17 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen cruised past Export Sebaco 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Diriangen had 68% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 32%, shots finished 41-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Diriangen and 0.67 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Diriangen 3-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 68%, draw 18%, Export Sebaco 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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28 Oct 2024
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