Krylya Sovetov 2-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
24.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.43
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.01
X/2
11%
6.1
X/X
15%
3.87
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.64
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -21%
1.20/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.45
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.3 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Sochi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 1.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
02.12.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
23.09.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
09.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
16.10.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
20.03.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-0
AWAY FC Sochi
0.75 xG 0.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
282 Passes 351
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov got the better of FC Sochi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Krylya Sovetov made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 45% of the ball to FC Sochi's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 0.83 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs FC Sochi?

Krylya Sovetov 2-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 37%, draw 30%, FC Sochi 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krylya Sovetov), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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