Rostov 1-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.9 — our 25% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.63
X/2
18%
4.74
X/X
8%
4.44
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
9%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.44/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.12
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.5 Crosses 14.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
362 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
31.01.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 Rostov Rostov HAZ
23.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.07.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
12.03.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
03.12.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.97 xG 1.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
197 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rostov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over CSKA Moskova 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rostov had 36% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 64%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.97 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rostov and 1.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs CSKA Moskova?

Rostov 1-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rostov 29%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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