Rostov 0-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.77
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.62
X/2
11%
5.52
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
13%
3.69
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.64/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
+38% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.4 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.03.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
03.12.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
24.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
03.06.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-1 HT 4-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
28.08.2022 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.29 xG 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
500 Passes 298
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and CSKA Moskova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rostov had 61% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 39%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 1.29 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rostov and 2.00 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs CSKA Moskova?

Rostov 0-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rostov 43%, draw 26%, CSKA Moskova 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Rostov), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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