Krylya Sovetov 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

Krylya Sovetov
0-4 HT 0-3
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.1
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
7%
8.03
X/2
16%
4.23
X/X
16%
4.81
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.49
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.15/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.86
-35% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
16.5 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.58 xG 2.09
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
239 Passes 528
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
31.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
29.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-5 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
20.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK

Krylya Sovetov 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
0-4
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.88 xG 2.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
387 Passes 536
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg swept aside Krylya Sovetov 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 44% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 56%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.88 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.17 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Krylya Sovetov 0-4 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 22%, draw 29%, Zenit St. Petersburg 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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