Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

Krylya Sovetov
1-1 HT 1-1
Zenit St. Petersburg
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.02
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
9%
15.25
X/1
11%
8.96
X/2
10%
4.01
X/X
9%
4.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.3
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.81/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.85
-43% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
14.0 Crosses 19.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.64 xG 2.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 472
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
29.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-5 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
20.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
14.09.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.46 xG 1.33
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 13
203 Passes 640
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 29% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 71%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.46 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 32%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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