FC Sochi 2-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.02
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.47
X/2
15%
4.64
X/X
12%
4.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.14
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
18.4 Crosses 14.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
343 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
30.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
13.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
05.03.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
28.09.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
23.07.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
2-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.56 xG 1.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
457 Passes 295
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and CSKA Moskova shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Sochi had 59% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 41%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.56 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Sochi and 1.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs CSKA Moskova?

FC Sochi 2-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 29%, draw 25%, CSKA Moskova 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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