Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.44
Over 2.5
30%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
13%
6.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2
9%
6.05
X/X
17%
3.34
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.37
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
70%
Under 2.5
66%
+4.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
34%
-4.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.3pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.80/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.84
-18% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 67%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
14.7 Crosses 12.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.45 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
256 Passes 258
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Baltika Kaliningrad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 39%, draw 32%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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