CSKA Moskova 1-0 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.69
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 31% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
8%
6.84
X/X
8%
5.11
2/1
11%
23.4
2/2
17%
4.65
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.01/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.60
+24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Rostov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
20.07.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
12.03.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
03.12.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
24.09.2023 Rostov Rostov 3-3 HT 2-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova squeezed past Rostov 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.00 for Rostov.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

CSKA Moskova 1-0 Rostov in the Friendlies on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 45%, draw 23%, Rostov 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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