CSKA Moskova vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Moskova v Rostov — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Moskova vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Rostov
RUS
1-1
HT 1-1
CSKA Moskova
RUK
3-3
HT 2-1
CSKA Moskova
RUS
4-1
HT 4-0
Rostov
RUS
CSKA Moskova 1-2 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics
Rostov squeezed past CSKA Moskova 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, CSKA Moskova had 56% of the ball to Rostov's 44%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.35 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Rostov.
What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?
CSKA Moskova 1-2 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Rostov?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 51%, draw 25%, Rostov 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.