Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
RUS
4-2
HT 1-1
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Spartak Moskova
RUK
1-2
HT 0-2
Spartak Moskova
RUS
Spartak Moskova 5-2 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova cruised past Lokomotiv Moscow 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 56% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 44%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 3.96 to 1.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Spartak Moskova 5-2 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 41%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Moscow 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.