Khimki 2-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

Khimki
2-2 HT 0-0
Krasnodar
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Khimki vs Krasnodar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
14%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
10%
9.07
X/2
17%
4.23
X/X
12%
5.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.27
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khimki v Krasnodar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 57%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.04/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.24
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -39%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
14.7 Crosses 14.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Khimki vs Krasnodar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.85 xG 1.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 4-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
12.03.2024 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUSK
02.04.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-6 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.11.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 4-1 HT 2-1 Khimki Khimki RUK
18.09.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
31.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-2 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK

Khimki 2-2 Krasnodar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
2-2
AWAY Krasnodar
1.32 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
221 Passes 370
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Krasnodar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Khimki had 41% of the ball to Krasnodar's 59%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.32 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Khimki and 3.17 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Krasnodar?

Khimki 2-2 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Khimki 23%, draw 25%, Krasnodar 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5
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