FC Sochi 1-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 36%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.93/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
-44% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
428 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
23.09.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
09.04.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
16.10.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
20.03.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
21.08.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
1-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and Krylya Sovetov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, FC Sochi had 53% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 47%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Sochi and 2.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov?

FC Sochi 1-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 42%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Sochi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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