Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.99
-14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +90%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
224 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
14.03.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
28.11.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
03.09.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 3-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
25.09.2019 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
26.09.2018 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2-0
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow got the better of Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 52% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 48%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 1.50 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 57%, draw 23%, Baltika Kaliningrad 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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