Dinamo Moscow 0-4 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.61
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.34 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
229 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
24.05.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
04.02.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow HAZ
25.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
25.05.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
19.09.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
0-4
AWAY Krasnodar
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar swept aside Dinamo Moscow 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Krasnodar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 56% of the ball to Krasnodar's 44%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Dinamo Moscow 0-4 Krasnodar in the Russia - Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 39%, draw 25%, Krasnodar 36%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ BTTS Yes
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