Krasnodar 3-0 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.7 — our 28% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.53
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
10%
7.95
X/X
16%
5.86
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
12%
5.42
2/X
4%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.96/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
15.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow HAZ
25.08.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
25.05.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
19.09.2023 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
09.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-3 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
21.07.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-3 HT 0-2 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
3-0
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.81 xG 0.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
313 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar swept aside Dinamo Moscow 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Krasnodar had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 44%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 1.81 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Krasnodar and 1.00 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow?

Krasnodar 3-0 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 48%, draw 26%, Dinamo Moscow 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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