Akron 1-4 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.0
2-3 Goals
33%
2.0
4-5 Goals
31%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.8
1/2
6%
22.9
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.27
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
11%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.0
2/2
15%
3.28
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.7pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 42%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.67/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.33
-30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
22.4 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 2.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
343 Passes 241
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 34
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 3-2 HT 2-2 Akron Akron RUS
24.01.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron HAZ
14.03.2023 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-4
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.04 xG 2.74
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
258 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow ran out comfortable winners over Akron 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Akron at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Akron had 44% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 56%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.04 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Akron and 1.33 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Akron 1-4 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Akron 43%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Akron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
24 May 2025
16:30 Makhachkala vs Rostov Analysis →
16:30 Fakel vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →
16:30 Spartak Moskova vs Khimki Analysis →
16:30 Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
16:30 Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny Analysis →
16:30 Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →