Makhachkala 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.64/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.30
+39% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.5 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rostov
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.97 xG 0.90
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
206 Passes 401
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 0
22.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-1
AWAY Rostov
1.23 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Rostov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Makhachkala had 42% of the ball to Rostov's 58%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.23 to 1.76.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Rostov?

Makhachkala 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 40%, draw 26%, Rostov 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Makhachkala), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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