Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 May 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
3-0 HT 2-0
FC Akhmat Grozny
📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.51
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
21.1
X/1
20%
3.81
X/2
5%
19.15
X/X
6%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
2/2
6%
16.75
2/X
7%
25.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.7pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v FC Akhmat Grozny — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
2.31/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.77
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.9 Crosses 13.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
505 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
10.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
06.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
19.05.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 HT 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
20.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 2-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK

Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.86 xG 0.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 0
14 Corners 4
338 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
50 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 55% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 45%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.86 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 65%, draw 19%, FC Akhmat Grozny 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
24 May 2025
16:30 Makhachkala vs Rostov Analysis →
16:30 Fakel vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →
16:30 Akron vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →
16:30 Spartak Moskova vs Khimki Analysis →
16:30 Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg Analysis →
16:30 Krasnodar vs Dinamo Moscow Analysis →