FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
41%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 31% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.3
1/2
7%
23.0
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
8%
9.54
X/2
13%
4.02
X/X
13%
5.35
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.2
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+12.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
57%
-16.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.53/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.69
+80% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.82 xG 1.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
289 Passes 505
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
06.11.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
19.05.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-5 HT 1-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
28.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
20.09.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 HT 2-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
25.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
1-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Zenit St. Petersburg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 47% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 53%, shots finished 18-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 2.83 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 31%, draw 28%, Zenit St. Petersburg 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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