Rostov 2-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.79
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
17%
6.61
X/2
9%
4.84
X/X
10%
4.56
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.08
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.97
+4% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
278 Passes 316
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
05.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-5 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
07.02.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov HAZ
12.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
2-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Rostov made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rostov had 41% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 59%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rostov and 1.83 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Rostov 2-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rostov 36%, draw 26%, Spartak Moskova 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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