Spartak Moskova 0-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 5 Nov 2024

Spartak Moskova
0-1 HT 0-0
Rostov
📅05/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2024/2025

Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
20%
3.91
X/2
7%
9.73
X/X
8%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.54
2/X
8%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartak Moskova v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -31%
2.74/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.06
+54% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rostov
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
332 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 3-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
21.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 1-5 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
07.02.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov HAZ
12.11.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 2-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
29.04.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
11.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 4-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS

Spartak Moskova 0-1 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
0-1
AWAY Rostov
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 62% of the ball to Rostov's 38%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.67 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Spartak Moskova 0-1 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 54%, draw 22%, Rostov 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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