Fakel 1-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.49
-59% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
24.5 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.58 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 Passes 278
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
25.04.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
02.09.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 3-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
28.05.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
27.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
29.09.2022 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
1-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.47 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
321 Passes 202
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Krylya Sovetov shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Fakel had 59% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.47 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fakel and 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Krylya Sovetov?

Fakel 1-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fakel 38%, draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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