24/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
25%
Draw
24%
27%
Away Win
21%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lokomotiv Moscow v Akron — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lokomotiv Moscow
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Akron
EU Bookmakers 24%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
2.35/0.49
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+26%
/
+111%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+73%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
378 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
355 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lokomotiv Moscow
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Akron
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
18
8
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
6
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
14.03.2023
Akron
1-1
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUSK
1-1
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv Moscow
RUSK
POST-MATCH
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Akron beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron?
Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2 Akron in the Friendlies on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 48%, draw 25%, Akron 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow)
✓ Under 2.5
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HAZ
More Friendlies
24 Jan 2024