Iğdır FK 1-2 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

Iğdır FK
1-2 HT 0-0
Serik Spor
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Iğdır FK vs Serik Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.63
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
20%
3.75
X/2
5%
15.1
X/X
5%
6.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.8
2/2
4%
13.25
2/X
7%
21.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+1.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.0pp
12%
Away Win
12%
-0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iğdır FK v Serik Spor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.38
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -24%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
23.7 Crosses 7.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Iğdır FK 1-2 Serik Spor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
1-2
AWAY Serik Spor
1.82 xG 1.92
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
511 Passes 132
86% Pass Accuracy 61%
29 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Spor edged past Iğdır FK 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Iğdır FK carried 69% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 73% of the ball to Serik Spor's 27%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.82 to 1.92.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Serik Spor?

Iğdır FK 1-2 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 69%, draw 18%, Serik Spor 12%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iğdır FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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