Amed SK 2-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 30% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
21%
4.19
X/2
7%
9.8
X/X
13%
5.68
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2
7%
7.53
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.56/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.5 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amed SK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.30 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
445 Passes 244
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2025 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Amed SK Amed SK T1L
27.10.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 0-1 HT 0-1 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
2-1
AWAY Pendikspor
1.36 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
293 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK squeezed past Pendikspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Amed SK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Amed SK had 48% of the ball to Pendikspor's 52%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.36 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amed SK and 0.50 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Pendikspor?

Amed SK 2-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amed SK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 55%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amed SK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amed SK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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