Amed SK 0-1 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.74
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
19%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amed SK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 33%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.99/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
-100% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
9.0 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amed SK
0-1
AWAY Pendikspor
1.29 xG 0.68
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
563 Passes 213
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amed SK vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor edged past Amed SK 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Pendikspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amed SK had 69% of the ball to Pendikspor's 31%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.29 to 0.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Amed SK.

What was the final score of Amed SK vs Pendikspor?

Amed SK 0-1 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amed SK vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Amed SK 36%, draw 27%, Pendikspor 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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