Erzurumspor FK 4-0 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.68
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.06
X/2
12%
7.43
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
6.23
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.38
+24% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.1 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.95 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-2 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
21.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.03.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.09.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 2-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
18.12.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-3 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
4-0
AWAY Keçiörengücü
3.01 xG 0.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
302 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK cruised past Keçiörengücü 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 49% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 51%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 3.01 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Erzurumspor FK 4-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 42%, draw 27%, Keçiörengücü 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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