Keçiörengücü 0-2 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.62
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
10%
4.5
X/2
8%
6.29
X/X
17%
3.57
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
5.28
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.17/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.13
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.2 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 0.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
292 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.03.2023 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.09.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 2-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
14.05.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
18.12.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-3 HT 0-1 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
10.02.2020 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
0-2
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
0.86 xG 1.54
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
368 Passes 153
78% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK saw off Keçiörengücü 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Keçiörengücü at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 65% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 35%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.86 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.33 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK?

Keçiörengücü 0-2 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 41%, draw 30%, Erzurumspor FK 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Keçiörengücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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