Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.25
1/2
12%
27.0
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
12%
7.74
X/2
13%
4.13
X/X
16%
4.33
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.61
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 53%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.67/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.16
-45% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.6 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.32 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
350 Passes 405
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 18
34 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 3-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
18.02.2017 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
17.09.2016 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
08.02.2016 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.08.2015 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
31.03.2013 Göztepe Göztepe 4-0 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0-1
AWAY Göztepe
0.36 xG 2.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
309 Passes 217
72% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe edged past Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 56% of the ball to Göztepe's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.36 to 2.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Göztepe's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 2.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Göztepe?

Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 29%, draw 26%, Göztepe 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
10 Mar 2024
13:30 Keçiörengücü vs Erzurumspor FK Analysis →
13:30 Altay vs Gençlerbirliği Analysis →
19:00 Kocaelispor vs Tuzlaspor Analysis →