Altay 0-4 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

Altay
0-4 HT 0-2
Gençlerbirliği
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Altay vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.85
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
8%
19.3
X/1
7%
12.45
X/2
18%
3.47
X/X
14%
5.17
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.9
2/X
5%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Altay v Gençlerbirliği — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 66%
+20% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.16/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.13
+61% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +68%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
14.6 Crosses 23.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Altay vs Gençlerbirliği Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
248 Passes 368
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.04.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
21.11.2022 Altay Altay 1-0 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
10.03.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
05.10.2018 Altay Altay 0-1 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
23.07.2008 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 2-0 Altay Altay PAT
27.04.2003 Altay Altay 3-3 HT 1-2 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL

Altay 0-4 Gençlerbirliği — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
0-4
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
0.41 xG 2.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
397 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
3 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Altay vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği cruised past Altay 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altay had 50% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 50%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.41 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Altay and 1.17 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Altay vs Gençlerbirliği?

Altay 0-4 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Altay 18%, draw 28%, Gençlerbirliği 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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