İstanbulspor 1-2 Boluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

İstanbulspor
1-2 HT 1-2
Boluspor
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Boluspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
8%
8.32
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
9%
6.53
2/X
10%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Boluspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Boluspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.68/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
-8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.3 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

İstanbulspor vs Boluspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Boluspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 1.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 326
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
20.09.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
01.05.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
26.12.2020 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
23.02.2020 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
28.09.2019 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 1-2 Boluspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-2
AWAY Boluspor
2.71 xG 1.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
451 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Boluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor squeezed past İstanbulspor 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was İstanbulspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 62% of the ball to Boluspor's 38%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.71 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured İstanbulspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İstanbulspor and 0.83 for Boluspor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Boluspor?

İstanbulspor 1-2 Boluspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Boluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 47%, draw 30%, Boluspor 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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