Bandırmaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
11%
8.39
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.35
2/2
9%
6.49
2/X
8%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.60/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.41
+11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.4 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
326 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
17.08.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.03.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
10.09.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.42 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
245 Passes 249
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 50% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 50%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.42 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Bandırmaspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 50%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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