Bandırmaspor 1-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.85
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
21%
4.82
X/2
7%
7.18
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
8%
5.27
2/X
10%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.5 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 249
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.03.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
10.09.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
01.05.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.83 xG 1.80
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 10
297 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü edged past Bandırmaspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 58% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 42%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.83 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.67 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Bandırmaspor 1-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 47%, draw 26%, Keçiörengücü 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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