Keçiörengücü 1-2 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.76
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
26%
3.79
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.19/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.55
+12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.5 Crosses 17.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
20.12.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-3 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
04.03.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
10.09.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-2 HT 0-2 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
01.05.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
11.12.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-2
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.06 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
286 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor squeezed past Keçiörengücü 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 52% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 48%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.06 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.67 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor?

Keçiörengücü 1-2 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 30%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ BTTS No
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