Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.41
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.22
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
12%
6.85
2/X
7%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.53/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.26
+20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.9 Crosses 15.7
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Çorum FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.09 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
301 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1-0
AWAY Çorum FK
0.33 xG 0.55
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
180 Passes 394
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 47
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük squeezed past Çorum FK 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 34% of the ball to Çorum FK's 66%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.33 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Çorum FK?

Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 44%, draw 27%, Çorum FK 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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