Çorum FK 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.94
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
11%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.84
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.67
-32% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
29.3 Crosses 13.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
2-2
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.60 xG 2.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
289 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Fatih Karagümrük couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 49% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 51%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.60 to 2.09.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Çorum FK 2-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 35%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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