Iğdır FK 6-1 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 36% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.15
X/1
14%
3.58
X/2
8%
11.05
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
7%
9.43
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.4pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
Crosses 14.3
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
6-1
AWAY Adanaspor
2.68 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 10
357 Passes 258
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK swept aside Adanaspor 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Iğdır FK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 56% of the ball to Adanaspor's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.68 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Adanaspor?

Iğdır FK 6-1 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 52%, draw 26%, Adanaspor 21%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iğdır FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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