Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.27
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
6%
7.01
X/2
21%
4.47
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.81
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.04/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.15
-43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.6 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.52 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
271 Passes 413
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
11.11.2023 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.01.2017 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
21.08.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3-1
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.65 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor got the better of Ümraniyespor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ümraniyespor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 48% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.65 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 0.50 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Şanlıurfaspor 3-1 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 27%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5
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