Kocaelispor 3-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
7%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
11%
7.92
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
15%
6.27
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.02
+21% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +70%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.6 Crosses 14.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pendikspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.97
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
213 Passes 411
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.08.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
15.04.2012 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
20.03.2011 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-3 HT 1-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
3-0
AWAY Pendikspor
1.96 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
376 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor cruised past Pendikspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 59% of the ball to Pendikspor's 41%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 1.00 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Pendikspor?

Kocaelispor 3-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 43%, draw 26%, Pendikspor 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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