Karpaty Lviv 1-1 SK Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.18
Over 2.5
64%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.19
No
43%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-11.1pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+10.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
42%
-6.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
58%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
42%
+15.4pp
43%
BTTS No
58%
-15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY SK Poltava EU Bookmakers 11%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1-1
AWAY SK Poltava
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv and SK Poltava couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Karpaty Lviv at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Karpaty Lviv had 70% of the ball to SK Poltava's 30%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava?

Karpaty Lviv 1-1 SK Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs SK Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 64%, draw 17%, SK Poltava 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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