Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
36%
Draw
29%
+6.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.84/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.38
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
23.09.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
09.05.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
21.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
01.12.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
24.10.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-3
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
56% Ball Possession 44%
1 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka saw off Zorya Luhansk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 36% — and on the day Kolos Kovalivka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 56% of the ball to Kolos Kovalivka's 44%, shots finished 1-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.00 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolos Kovalivka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 29%, draw 36%, Kolos Kovalivka 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (29/36/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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