Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.91
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
09.05.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
21.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
01.12.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
24.10.2021 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
21.03.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka cruised past Zorya Luhansk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zorya Luhansk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 0.67 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 43%, draw 29%, Kolos Kovalivka 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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