Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.92/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.64
-19% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
22.09.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
08.04.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
23.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-4 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
19.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
09.11.2022 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
0-1
AWAY Kryvbas KR
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR squeezed past Vorskla Poltava 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Kryvbas KR made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.40 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?

Vorskla Poltava 0-1 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 32%, draw 28%, Kryvbas KR 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
30 Mar 2025
15:30 Karpaty Lviv vs Chornomorets Odessa Analysis →
18:00 Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka Analysis →