Karpaty Lviv 4-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.48/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
21.05.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-1 HT 1-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
23.04.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
28.10.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-5 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
29.07.2018 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
05.05.2018 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
4-0
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv swept aside Chornomorets Odessa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karpaty Lviv had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 0.67 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Karpaty Lviv 4-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 55%, draw 25%, Chornomorets Odessa 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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