Kryvbas KR 0-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 48%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.78/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.06
+76% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Polessya
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2025 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
30.11.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-1 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
30.10.2024 Polessya Polessya 2-1 HT 1-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKRK
13.05.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
06.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
0-1
AWAY Polessya
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Kryvbas KR 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Polessya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kryvbas KR had 42% of the ball to Polessya's 58%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kryvbas KR and 1.20 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?

Kryvbas KR 0-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 36%, draw 26%, Polessya 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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